Saturday, October 29, 2005

Israel Should Not Delay

Iran wants to destroy the State of Israel, which means killing 5 million Jews. It faces just a wrist slap from the "International Community" while its nuke program continues with French and Russian help. Israel should take Iran down now, before it has nukes and while it still has a friendly US administration. If it waits for the next administration, that may well be a Democratic one which will feed it to the butchers.

The Iranian declaration of war:

TEHRAN -- President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, cheered by tens of thousands of supporters, yesterday stood by his call for Israel to be "wiped off the map," while Iran's foreign ministry sought to defuse a diplomatic storm.

I bet Iran "tried to defuse" it - they don't have the nukes yet!

Israel has a population of 6.3 million, of which 80% are Jewish, so that's 5 million Jews the Iranian government plans to kill - only a million less than the Holocaust. This is very achievable with nukes because Israel's population centers are crowded into a very small area - the entire country including the thinly-populated Negev desert is smaller than New Jersey.

Niccolo Machiavelli analyzed the similar multi-polar world of 15/16th Century Italy, and gives this advice:

War is just when it is necessary; arms are permissible when there is no hope except in arms.

There is no avoiding war; it can only be postponed to the advantage of others.

Tardiness often robs us opportunity, and the dispatch of our forces.

However, he suggests waiting for maximum surprise. The mullahs will scatter and hide if they think there's a strike on the way, so it's best to wait until they are where they can be hit.

No enterprise is more likely to succeed than one concealed from the enemy until it is ripe for execution.

My suggested targeting uses about 75% of the estimated Israeli nuke arsenal, and is well within their delivery capacity (IRBMs, sub launched cruise missiles, long range F-15s). It will kill most of the population of Iran and severely contaminate large parts of Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Afghanistan and Turkmenistan .

It would be nice to wait until pinpoint weapons are available, but they are years off. And now there's a good chance the next administration will be Dem, which will hold the Israelis back while the Iranians get their first strike together.

So I'd go late this year/early next, after the Mullahs have returned to Tehran from their spider holes.