Saturday, August 26, 2006

Deal Breaker

A deal is a deal - break one part, and you break the whole. The UN thinks it can renege on its part of the Lebanese ceasefire while holding Israel to its part. But it actually leaves Israel free to do what it wants and, to avoid future disappointment, Olmert should gently point this out.

Here's the essential part of the UN resolution that led Israel to stop chewing up Hizbollah (my emphasis):

Calls for Israel and Lebanon to support a permanent ceasefire and a long-term solution based on the following principles and elements:

— full respect for the Blue Line (Israeli border) by both parties,

— security arrangements to prevent the resumption of hostilities, including the establishment between the Blue Line and the Litani river of an area free of any armed personnel, assets and weapons other than those of the government of Lebanon and of UNIFIL as authorized in paragraph 11, deployed in this area,

— full implementation of the relevant provisions of the Taif Accords, and of resolutions 1559 (2004) and 1680 (2006), that require the disarmament of all armed groups in Lebanon, so that, pursuant to the Lebanese cabinet decision of July 27, 2006, there will be no weapons or authority in Lebanon other than that of the Lebanese state

But now, here’s AP, Voice Of The UN (my emphasis):
But 13 days after Israel and Hezbollah agreed to a ceasefire, questions remained about how to enforce the vague truce and prevent the area from exploding again. It was unclear how the United Nations would meet Israel's demand to prevent Hezbollah from rearming.
As we can see, it's not Israel's demand, but the Security Council's - AP wants to paint Hizbollah's disarmament as a new Israeli condition, rather than the core of the deal. It's shilling for this man:
U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan stressed Friday it was not the peacekeepers' task to strip the guerrillas of their weapons, saying that was an issue for Lebanon's government and "cannot be done by force.""The troops are not going there to disarm Hezbollah. Let's be clear about that," he said.
So if the Lebanese Army doesn't disarm Hizbollah - which it can't - the UN Resolution falls.

Fools and rogues commonly try to break their parts of deals, and I've found the only remedy is to formally record the deal as broken.

Olmert should warn the world that failure to disarm Hizbollah is a deal breaker.