Sunday, December 31, 2006

A Toast For 2007: To The Collapse of The EU!

Evil dictators commit genocide, but even benign ones cause human suffering by destroying wealth and liberty. Fortunately all dictatorships are unstable, and in 2007 the Euro is quite likely to collapse, taking the benign dictatorship of the EU with it.

Winston Churchill's famous words in 1947 addressed benign dictatorships:
We accept in the fullest sense of the word the settled and persistent will of the people. All this idea of a group of supermen and super-planners, such as we see before us, “playing the angel,” as the French call it, and making the masses of the people do what they think is good for them, without any check or correction, is a violation of democracy.

Many forms of Government have been tried, and will be tried in this world of sin and woe. No one pretends that democracy is perfect or all-wise. Indeed, it has been said that democracy is the worst form of Government except all those other forms that have been tried from time to time; but there is the broad feeling in our country that the people should rule, continuously rule, and that public opinion, expressed by all constitutional means, should shape, guide, and control the actions of Ministers who are their servants and not their masters.
The subsequent failure of communist and socialist economies (including that of the Brits) confirmed his analysis.

But the local petty dictators were replaced by the continent-wide dictatorship of the EU - 80% of Brit laws are now imposed by corrupt, statist and unchecked EU bureaucrats, who are fast destroying Brit freedoms built on centuries of incremental economic and social improvement.


Still, the EU's "angels" are just as fallible as their predecessors, and the only glue left holding their institution together is the Euro. That grand project is now hated by a majority in all the big nations using it - Germany, France and Italy. That's because it has made them poorer, and without democratic support, it's bound to collapse like the Soviet ruble block.

For a variety of reasons, currency collapses are never predicted by the markets and so the Euro blowup could come any time.

So Brits should raise their glasses tonight to drink to an EU-free 2007.

Saturday, December 30, 2006

Crime And Punishment

The execution of Saddam Hussein is a rare act of justice - most genocides die in their beds. If we want to make the world safe, we need such hangings to be the rule, not the exception.

The other three big post war mass murderers dodged the hangman's noose:


Pol Pot killed up to 3 million Cambodians, was given sanctuary in Thailand and China, then returned home to face a court that sentenced him to lifelong house arrest (the Vatican no doubt deemed this harsh). Just when it seemed likely that he'd face a real trial, he died peacefully in bed.

Idi Amin killed between 80,000 and 500,000 people, was given shelter by our friends the Saudis, and died there after 23 years in exile.

Slobodan Milosevic, was responsible for genocide in the former Yugoslavia. After his defeat, he was unfortunately extradited to the UN's International Criminal Court for a trial that was still going strong after 5 years, when he upped and died.

So a genocidal dictator has a 3 in 4 chance of dodging the noose. A 75% chance of escape is way too high since the only way of deterring genocide is a near certainty that perps will be killed. That's why nuclear deterrence worked during the cold war - the Soviet rulers knew they would be fried if they started a war.


The first step is to define the A list of candidates for the noose. As well as current mass mirderers, this should include intended mass murders. Here's the top four:


Kim Il-Sung, who runs a state based on concentration camps, mass murder, rape and starvation, and has killed about 2 million North Koreans. With nukes he can double that number.

The Iranian Gang,
who
hang rape victims and are working on a second holocaust. Their Supreme Leader Khamenei, his 12-man Council of Guardians, and their front guy Ahmadinejad will need a total of 14 nooses.

Robert Mugabe, the 21st century Amin.

The
Hutu leaders of the Rwandan genocide who killed about 1 million Tutsis. The surviving Tutsis are dealing with the retail hatchet men, but the leaders scattered to safe places, including the UK. The Brits have finally decided to extradite four of them, but only if their victims promise not to execute them. So these four are on the list.

When this bunch have swung, there's a B list to work on: the Janjaweed mass murderers and rapists in Darfur; Putin, who slaughtered the
Chechens, armed the Mullahs, and is deploying ICBMs to dodge the US BMD on their way to kill Americans; and of course the Chinese thugocrats.

Additional suggestions are welcome, and a future post will suggest how we implement this planetary clean-up.

Sunday, December 24, 2006

He's On His Way!

North American AeroSpace Defense Command (NORAD) is tracking Santa, and your kids can stay in touch by going here.

NORAD is based in Colorado Springs and provides surveillance for the US and Canada, and:
...uses four high-tech systems to track Santa - radar, satellites, Santa Cams and jet fighter aircraft.
Right now he's over Fuji in Japan.

Have a great Christmas.

Saturday, December 23, 2006

On Brit Eccentrics

Britain is famed for its nutty eccentrics, and two made news today - a Saddam-boosting archbishop, and an anti-semitic historian. The historian is the harmless one.

Brit eccentrics are, like all eccentrics, wrong. But some are evil while some are harmless.

The archbishop is an evil eccentric:
Christians in the Middle East are being put at unprecedented risk by the Government’s “shortsighted” and “ignorant” policy in Iraq, The Archbishop of Canterbury, Dr Rowan Williams, says today.

In an extraordinary attack, Dr Williams accuses Tony Blair and the US of endangering the lives and futures of many thousands of Christians in the Middle East, who are regarded by their countrymen as supporters of the “crusading West.”

The archbishop is head of the Church of England (C of E), an organization in decline for decades - when new Army recruits state their religion as "none" they're put down as C of E.

The archbishop's eccentricity is to confuse cause and effect. Christians have been persecuted in Muslim nations for centuries. And even if it has gotten worse because we've deposed a monster who killed millions, how can he treat inconvenience to Christians as worse than that genocide? This goes beyond eccentricity to real harmfulness because he absolves the people who persecute Christians of responsibility for their crimes, so they'll keep on persecuting

By contrast, David Irvine is a harmless eccentric:

British writer David Irving wasted no time Friday offending Jews and black people at a news conference, a day after his return from Austria where he was imprisoned for denying the Holocaust.

At a news conference in London, Irving endorsed actor Mel Gibson's drunken comments earlier this year that Jews were responsible for all modern wars.

He also referred to his success as an author in the 1970s by talking about how be used cash to buy a Rolls-Royce - the color of which he described by using a racial slur against blacks.

Mr Irving follows in the grand tradition of the likes of the historian Alan Clark, who famously seduced many of the women he encountered but was so likable that his talented and beautiful wife tolerated his foibles. Irvine's oddity is different - he doesn't like Jews. But he is IMHO a very good historian, writing the definitive history of the German V-1 and V-2 programs.

And his acerbic comments are understandable after 12 months locked up by the self-satisfied and pompous Austrians, whose parents included many of Hitler's most efficient Jew killers.

Irving, like all Englishmen, is entitled to his opinion, no matter how lunatic - only fellow-lunatics will agree with him while the rest of us can use our right to free speech to disagree with him.

So Irving is harmless and the archbishop is not.

Friday, December 22, 2006

AP Is Bad, But Not All Bad

The AP, deep in the hole on its flawed reporting from Iraq, is still digging furiously. But it has some decent employees, and thanks to them we know Sandy Berger is a crook with something big to hide.

AP's false reporting from Iraq has been exposed by Curt at
Flopping Aces, who in his day job is a cop in Los Angeles. It turns out AP relies on Iraqi stringers who front for terrorists and have fed AP overstated reports of the violence.

That's regrettable but understandable - getting objective truth is hard in the (few) areas of Iraq suffering sectarian violence. What makes the affair reprehensible is AP management's attempts to cover up.


Here's AP's
bright side (WSJ, $):
Bill Clinton's former National Security Adviser, Sandy Berger, has already recanted his initial claim that he removed documents from the National Archives "inadvertently" back in 2003 while preparing for testimony to the 9/11 Commission. He pleaded guilty to a misdemeanor in 2005 and paid a $50,000 fine. But now the report of the Archives' Inspector General has come to light, and it suggests Mr. Berger knew he was engaged in a bit of hugger-mugger when he secreted the after-action memos he was reviewing out of the building.

According to the report, obtained by the Associated Press through a Freedom of Information Act request, Mr. Berger removed the documents and hid some of them under a trailer in a construction site before returning to retrieve them later. This is not the behavior of a man with a clear conscience. And it's astonishing for a man who served in a senior White House position that made him familiar with the obligations of handling classified papers.

Thanks to AP, we now know that Berger took huge risks to remove and destroy classified documents - which tells us he thought them highly prejudicial.

Let's hope the AP stays on the case and finds out exactly what these were.

Thursday, December 21, 2006

Time For Linebacker III

In spite of our difficulties in Iraq, it's unlikely the thugocracies running Iran and Syria will survive the next two years.

The Brit
Times:
President Bush conceded for the first time yesterday that America is not winning the war in Iraq and said that insurgents had thwarted efforts to stabilise the country.
Since the insurgents are supplied and armed by Iran and Syria, we just need to change their regimes out, and that's not hard.

Good Cop


In this approach, dictators are removed by helping their domestic opponents.

Iranians
aren't happy with their fundamentalist government, even when it rigs elections:
Iranians made their feelings plain about Mahmoud Ahmadinejad last week by voting to reject his allies in municipal elections and in the Assembly of Experts, a clerical body that theoretically has authority over Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.
Syria has an opposition too, and the administration is helping it:
The US government confirmed Thursday morning a Time magazine report that it was working to secretly strengthen factions opposing the Assad regime in Syria.

The Time Web site revealed a report Wednesday that said the US government was working to affect its support for the opposing factions before the Syrian election in March 2007, in an effort to push towards a true democratic regime in the Syrian state.

The opposition is rational - the Syrian and Iranian people want their place in the sun along with the rest of the world. But, unlike us they've seen their living standards plummet, their freedoms diminish, and they now face slaughter in a nuclear war.

But this good cop approach won't work with the current players in Washington. The pro-democracy programs will be run by the appeasers at State, the Dem Congress will crimp the funding, and the NYT will blow the security cover of the Iranian and Syrian opposition.

Bad Cop

So that leaves bad cop, as last practiced by President Nixon to bring the North Vietnamese 11 days at the end of 1972:

Operation Linebacker II was a U.S. seventh Air Force and U.S. Navy Task Force 77 aerial bombardment campaign conducted against targets in the Democratic republic of Vietnam (DRV) during the final period of the American commitment to the Vietnam Conflict.

By Christmas most of the legitimate targets in North Vietnam were in a shambles...By the eleventh and final mission (29 December), there were few strategic targets worthy of mention left within the DRV...Total bombing was rounded out by sending (B 52s) on Archlight missions in the southern DRV and in South Vietnam. Once again, there were no aircraft losses to AAA fire, MiGs, or missiles.
This confirmed the US can completely destroy its opponents, even when they're protected by the latest Soviet weapons.

Our objective
in Iraq is a lasting democracy - unitary, federal or 3-state. Given the limitations the US lefty opposition will place on the good cop approach, the bad cop will also be needed, though probably not on the scale of Linebacker II.

The targets are Iran's nuclear infrastructure and both Iran and Syria's rocket forces. Both can be eliminated with minimal civilian casualties, and their destruction will reveal the powerlessness of the ruling dictatorships and pave the way for their removal by democratic forces.


And the good news is that such a strike can be authorized by the president, just like Linebacker II.

EU'll Be Sorry

The EU enables cash to flow to Hamas while France provides air cover for Hizbollah's re-armament. So they'll end up part of the eventual Mideast nuke-fest.

The EU (my ellipsis):
EU monitors overtook the responsibility of operating the crossing (from Egypt to the Gaza strip) in November 2005 after the implementation of former Prime Minister Ariel Sharon's withdrawal plan from Gaza.

(But)
Some $60 million have been smuggled from Egypt into the Gaza Strip through the EU-controlled Rafah border crossing, Gen. Pietro Pistolese the head of the team of monitors said Thursday.
Fortunately, the Israelis did stop this (my ellipsis):
(The Israeli) Defense Minister Amir ordered the closure of the Rafah crossing in Gaza Thursday to prevent (the Hamas leader) from returning to the Strip with dozens of millions of dollars in aid that he had received from neighboring Arab nations and Iran, during his recent trip around the Middle East.
Still, $60 million funds a lot of suicide bombers and rockets.


The French have had similarly delivered on their UN commitment to disarm Hizbollah (my ellipsis):
Syria...(has) used the past four months since the end of the war to transfer - sometimes on a daily basis - truckloads of advanced rockets and weaponry to Hizbullah in Lebanon. The weapon transfers...were not even executed covertly, but were conducted "out in the open" for the entire world to see.
None of this is surprising, given the EU's corruption & incompetence and French antisemitism. But these guys are stoking a nuclear war, which their in-theater forces won't survive, and their capitals may not.

That's dumb.

Wednesday, December 20, 2006

Time To Mobilize Our Scientists

EU Referendum has a helpful Christmas gift list of weapons for the Brit forces in Iraq and Iran. To add to that, here are three weapons we might develop to improve the combat effectiveness of coalition forces in both theaters.

EU Referendum's suggestions seek to upgrade the quality and quantity of Brit fighting equipment to US and Israeli levels.

But across all coalition forces, there's a need for new weapons to defeat the proxy armies of Iran and Syria. That's because our current weapons were developed for an intense European land war, and the battles we're now fighting are quite different.


Increase our rate of developing new weapons and tactics


In WW2, we produced a flood of new weapons, from the radar that won the battles of Britain and Malta, the Enigma code breaker and its US equivalent that cracked Japanese codes, through the Mulberry Harbor that enabled the D-Day landings, to the gyroscopic gunsight that enabled our slower fighters to knock down two Germans jets for each loss of our own.


One major reason for that was the mobilization of the scientific and engineering establishment - in the UK this included the splendid
Dr R V Jones.

So far as I know, the only scientific mobilization in the GWOT has been the US counter-IED program - here are three other suggestions.


Non-nuclear EMP weapons


Electromagnetic Pulse weapons create very high energy fields that fry electronics.


Our forces in both theaters face massive infiltration of fighters and weapons across borders - from Pakistan into Afghanistan, and Syria and Iran into Iraq.


A regime of EMP interdiction could sanitize these borders - men would still get through, but their electronic equipment - including vehicles - would not. So they'd have to fight without communication or mobility.


The Brits are developing
non-nuclear EMP weapons, and that program needs national priority to get more money and the best engineering and scientific talents.

Automatic force protection


This weapon would use radar to track incoming bullets and RPGs, and automatically fire back to destroy the shooter. It has to be small enough to mount on a Warrior, Bradley, or Stryker so it can provide convoy and point protection.


The naval
Phalanx system shoots down incoming missiles, and the clever Canadians have ripped theirs off ships to defend against Taliban mortars and rockets. The land based C-Ram version defends Baghdad's Green Zone.

Because bullets and RPG rounds are smaller than mortar shells and rockets, force protection radar has to be higher resolution - probably millimetric. Also in a firefight there are thousands of objects flying, so it needs faster computing and smarter software than the Phalanx.


I think this is a solvable engineering problem, and the sooner we start, the sooner our troops and bases will be protected. The Israelis are building a tank protection weapon along these lines for their Merkava, so we might solicit their help.


Suicide bomber tracking


Individuals carrying suicide bombs behave differently to normal people - that's why expert Israelis spot all but a tiny percentage of would-be Palestinian "martyrs".


With good remote sensing and pattern recognition software, that can be mechanized - it won't perform as well as the skilled Israelis, but should be much faster and so capable of carrying out mass screening at airports, mosques and marketplaces.


The Brits developed very powerful face recognition systems to track the IRA, which they now use to ID speeding drivers. That's a good base to start from.


Any one of these weapons would transform our capabilities in the current wars, and if we will it, we can probably get them all!

Tuesday, December 19, 2006

Nuclear Deterrence Is Our Future

The US just agreed to share its nuclear technology with India, the world's largest democracy. That's sensible - the failure to stop the dictatorships in North Korea, Pakistan and Iran from building nukes means we must now rely on nuclear deterrence to maintain our freedoms.
President Bush yesterday signed a bill establishing civilian nuclear ties with India, a dramatic break in three decades of U.S. nonproliferation policy but a step that the Bush administration said will closer bind both nations and redraw the balance of power in Asia.

"After 30 years outside the system, India will now operate its civilian nuclear energy program under internationally accepted guidelines -- and the world is going to be safer as a result," Mr. Bush said, signing legislation that could allow U.S. nuclear technology to be shared with India for nonmilitary purposes...

Opponents, though, said the agreement marks a retreat in the United States' stated goal of containing nuclear proliferation. Rep. Edward J. Markey, Massachusetts Democrat, called it "an historic mistake."

"It has shredded the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty; it has emboldened Iran's nuclear-weapons program and has vastly increased India's capacity to make nuclear weapons to 40 to 50 nuclear bombs per year from two to three nuclear bombs per year," he said.
With the NPT already shredded, that leaves Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD), the doctrine that saw us through the Cold War.

This still works:
China only has twenty missiles that could reach the United States. These are liquid fueled, take hours to get ready for launch, and spend most of their time off-line. And even if these missiles were made ready, they could only threaten the Western United States.

Meanwhile, the United States has over 800 missiles that could reach China, and most of them are ready to fire 24/7. How many of those missiles are aimed at China is a well-kept secret, but China has about 200 nuclear warheads, while the U.S. has over 9,000.

Perhaps China realizes that the chances of the United States using, or even threatening to use, nuclear armed missiles against China are slim to none. In that case, why should China spend a lot of money trying to match the American arsenal.
The world's democracies - including the UK - best assure their survival by following India's example and increasing the quality and quantity of their nuclear weapons.

Monday, December 18, 2006

Mideast Cause And Effect

Baker, Blair and the EU are wrong to claim the Palestine-Israel conflict causes Mideast instability. It's the other way round, and acting on their faulty analysis will cause disaster.

Tim Hames in the London Times diagnoses the three current wars (my ellipsis):
First, what was, atypically, an Israel-Hezbollah-Lebanon crisis has returned to normal — namely, a Syria-Hezbollah-Lebanon crisis with Hezbollah attempting to bring down a legitimate Government in Beirut, helped by Damascus.

...Hezbollah is not attempting to topple the Beirut Cabinet because of Israel but because it does not care for the Lebanese Prime Minister and his comparatively secular and technocratic team, which includes a strong Christian element.

Secondly, the fragile Palestinian Authority has moved ever closer to civil war between Fatah and Hamas....Fatah and Hamas are not at each other’s throats over a diplomatic strategy towards Israel but are engaged in a battle between nationalism and theocracy.

Thirdly, what had been a contest in Iraq between a US-led “occupation” and a so-called “insurgency” has mutated into dire ethnic cleansing between Shia and Sunni Iraqis. And of all the possible explanations for Shia and Sunni Iraqis slaughtering each other, we can discount the possibility that it is a dispute over Israel’s precise boundaries.

What we are witnessing is a profound disagreement about the political role of Islam in the modern world and which version of Islam is the more valid.
He concludes:
It is clear, then, that to expect an Israeli-Palestinian settlement to somehow deliver harmony throughout the Middle East is both wildly optimistic and intellectually ludicrous. The minimum that a “two- state solution” needs for any serious negotiations to start, never mind succeed, is two states — not one state and one fratricidal non-state.
In this situation, the best the West can do to encourage harmony and prosperity to emerge is to nurture and support the Mideast democacies - Israel and Iraq.

Conversely, undermining Israel through forced concessions and abandoning Iraq consigns the entire region to darkness.

Sunday, December 17, 2006

Of Muslims And Elephants

Currently both seething Brit Muslim leaders and Northern Assam elephants are under attack. My sympathies are with the elephants.

The
seether (my ellipsis):
A senior Muslim invoked Hitler's 1930s Nazi regime while attacking the (Brit) Government over its treatment of British Muslims...the head of the Muslim Council of Britain (which gets £50,000 a year from the Brit taxpayer), criticised the Government for "unfairly targeting" Muslims, and said that it was undermining their status as "equal citizens".

He warned that blaming extremism on "a small, largely deprived community" leads to a "deterioration of community cohesion and fuels xenophobia".

"We have been told to accept that greater numbers of Muslims will be stopped and searched and also to 'inform on our children'. You will understand our worry about where all this is leading. Some Muslims have even sought the MCB's advice on whether they should change their names in order to avoid remarks.

But the Brit Muslim community singles itself out, by murdering Londoners, telling us in polls that many want to murder more, refusing to observe Holocaust Memorial day, and threatening in public to kill us if others disespect their religion. In spite of which the Brits have killed no Muslims, and continue to subsidize many - including this seether.

Contrast Brit Muslims' situation with that of the poor Assam elephants:

A killer elephant named after Usama bin Laden by fearful villagers was killed by sharpshooters, officials said Sunday. The animal was blamed for 14 deaths in the northeastern state of Assam...The elephant evaded two previous attempts by officials to kill it.

Confrontations between humans and elephants have escalated in northeastern India in recent years as the elephants' natural habitat has been destroyed, forcing the animals to forage for food in areas where humans live.

In the past five years, more than 250 people have been killed in Assam by elephants, while angry villagers killed 268 elephants during the same period, officials said.

Unlike the Muslims - who chose to come to the UK - these noble and intelligent creatures have had their neighborhood invaded and their food sources destroyed by an alien species. The elephants have sought no state handouts but tried to support themselves, And when, starving, they kill people, they are themselves killed.

So pity the elephants of Assam, not the Muslims of the UK.

Saturday, December 16, 2006

Blair Is Right

This unusual title for a DU post concerns Blair's stopping an investigation into Saudi corruption.
The SFO was investigating the £150 million Al Yamamah arms contract with BAE systems following allegations that middlemen had been paid millions of pounds.

The Saudis threatened to cancel a £10 billion order for Typhoon fighters unless the investigation was halted, threatening thousands of defence industry jobs.

The importance of good diplomatic relations with the Arab country were cited as the main reason for abandoning the investigation

The Blair bashers argue:

Britain is a signatory to the 1999 OECD Anti-Bribery Convention, which stresses that investigations should not be “influenced by considerations of national economic interest, the potential effect upon relations with another State or the identity of the natural or legal persons involved.”
Blair can reply that yes, the Brits did investigate - which is a damn site more than any of their OECD "partners" have done for similar offenses alleged on their turf.

And all of the oil states (barring Iraq) are corrupt dictatorships, but that doesn't stop the West buying its oil from them under unusual commercial arrangements.

And the UN and EU are riddled with corruption, but the Brits pay folks there in cash or kind to advance Brit national interests. For example the entire Security Council turned a blind eye to the biggest fraud in history - the UN Oil For Food scam.

Finally, it's a vital Brit national interest to keep the BAE Filton plant busy. We likely to need a lot more of its Typhoons and F-35 Lightings to face an aggressive Russia, a vindictive Europe, or a holocaust-repeating Iran. Or all of the above.

Another Unintended Consequence

Japan has drawn the right conclusion from the new Congress and the ISG report.

After the horrors it inflicted - and suffered - in WW2, Japan developed a
unique military:
The Japanese military is severely limited by...the Japanese Constitution which states:
"The Japanese people forever renounce war as a sovereign right of the nation and the threat or use of force as means of settling international disputes" and that "land, sea, and air forces, as well as other war potential, will never be maintained."
Based on the Self-Defense Forces Law of 1954, the nation's defense establishment is organized to ensure civilian control of the armed forces.
In spite of which:
Japan's USD $45.8 billion/year budget makes it the fourth largest military spender in the world, after the United States,...China and Russia.
This powerful force just lost a slab of those constitutional limitations:
Japan's conservative government chipped away at the country's postwar pacifism yesterday by requiring schools to teach patriotism and upgrading the Defense Agency to a full ministry for the first time since World War II.

The measures, enacted in a vote by parliament's upper house, are key elements of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's push to bolster Japan's international military role, build up national pride and distance the country from its post-1945 war guilt.
This is just 58 days after Secretary Rice promised the Japanese full US protection against North Korean nukes.

The legendary politeness of the Japanese misled commentators to believe that she's put Japan back in its box. But there was no chance of that - with a Dem controlled Congress and the US looking to abandon a liberated ally, realistic Japan will look after itself.


Don't expect any highly publicized changes - the Japanese will just quietly build a complete and world-beating nuclear deterrent. And last time I looked they had enough enriched uranium and plutonium for 30,000 warheads.


Another victory for the Dems and Baker.

Friday, December 15, 2006

UN Fails The Parking Ticket Test

Annan's replacement at the UN vows to clean house but since the UN reflects its mostly corrupt membership, he's bound to fail.

Here's his
promising start:
Ban Ki-moon was sworn in yesterday as the new U.N. secretary-general and...shifted the mood at the U.N. General Assembly, vowing to launch an "Operation Restore Trust

...the former South Korean foreign minister condemned Iran's recent conference of Holocaust deniers and its president's call to wipe Israel off the map, calling both "unacceptable."

This shows the enormity of the task:

....since 1997, foreign diplomats in New York have forgone payment on over 150 thousand tickets – some $18 million in unpaid tickets. The researchers also say that they found a direct correlation between the list of parking violators and the results of the study by the World Bank on global corruption in the countries cited in the report.

The study also says that the countries that did pay their fines were also the countries with the least violations.

The UN's champion parking violator? Kuwait, with 246 unpaid tickets per diplomat per year – over the past five years. Egypt comes in second with half that amount, followed by Chad, Sudan, Bulgaria, Mozambique, Albania, Angola, Senegal, Pakistan, Cote d'Ivoire, Zambia, Morocco, Ethiopia, Nigeria, Syria, Benin and Cameroon.

Only 20 countries – including Israel – have paid all their parking tickets. The list includes Canada, Britain, Japan, Ireland, Norway, Denmark and Sweden. class.

A diplomat who was caught violating parking laws twice, and does not pay his fine – will have his diplomatic license plate removed from his vehicle and he returns to being exposed to towing, fines and all the other penalties familiar to regular citizens.

People in high trust nations find such behavior inexplicable because we're contemptuous of lawbreakers, and that's a huge sanction over and above fines and towing.

But in low trust societies people who behave dishonestly or antisocially are admired, so these scofflaw diplomats will have enhanced their reputations with their corrupt UN peers.

And Mr Ki-moon can't change that.

Thursday, December 14, 2006

Why The EU Is Statist

The EU is destroying the economy Mrs T built for the Brits. That's in part anti-Anglo vindictiveness, but also because the average EU nation is statist, and the Brits are not.

Statism is:
A form of government or economic system that involves significant state intervention in personal, social or economic matters.
Statism doesn't work - here's a current example (WSJ, $):
America's rate of growth in CO2 emissions from 2000-04 was eight percentage points lower than from 1995-2000. By comparison, the EU-15 saw an increase of 2.3 points...

Europe's dismal record is explained by its approach to reducing emissions. The centerpiece of the Continent's plan is a carbon-trading scheme in which companies in CO2-heavy industries receive tradable permits for a certain amount of emissions. If they emit more CO2, they must buy credits from firms that are under quota. The idea is to force companies to emit less CO2 by making it prohibitively expensive to keep the status quo.

All this scheme has done so far is provide further proof that government cannot replicate the wisdom of markets. A red-faced European Commission recently admitted that it allowed more permits than there were emissions in 2005-07, keeping permit prices low and undermining the entire system.

When Brussels tried to make amends by ordering several member states to cut carbon permits by 7% more than expected for 2008-2012, industry and national capitals squealed. The market hadn't priced in such a dramatic reduction. With carbon permits trading relatively cheaply, firms have been able to get by with minimal changes to the way they do business. That has minimized Kyoto's economic impact.

The EU is statist because its member states are mostly statist. And since EU employees come from these same states, they're statist too. Here are the numbers.

The Heritage Foundation's Index of Economic Freedom (IEF), measures the extent to which nations have free markets - the lower the IEF score, the freer (and less statist).

The EU has 25 members and the UK is its economically most free large member with an IEF of 1.74 - only two small EU nations beat it (Ireland IEF 1.58, Luxembourg IEF 1.6).

We can compute the average IEF for the EU by summing the population-weighted IEFs of its members - excluding the UK, that's an IEF of 2.3. This makes the EU much less economically free then any Anglosphere nation - the US has IEF 1.84 and even nanny state Canada has IEF 1.85.

In fact the closest EU nation to an IEF of 2.3 is socialist Portugal (IEF 2.29) - which, appropriately, supplies the current EU chief.


Thus from an economic perspective, the EU is Portugal writ large, so it's bound to screw up markets. And the Brits.

Wednesday, December 13, 2006

EU At Last Converges - With Russia

Russia's heist of Shell's $20 billion oil project makes it a pariah state for foreign investors - just like the EU.

Russia:
Foreign energy companies will be welcome in future as subcontractors but not as owners in Russia’s energy industry, the Kremlin signalled yesterday as Gazprom moved closer towards wresting control of Sakhalin-2, the giant Siberian gas project, from Royal Dutch Shell.

The Russian gas giant confirmed that Shell had made a new proposal in negotiations over Gazprom’s participation in Sakhalin Energy, the company building a $20 billion (£10.2 billion) liquefied natural gas scheme in Eastern Siberia.
Here's how they did it (WSJ, $):
Connoisseurs of Russian black humor can appreciate the methods used to wrest control of the Sakhalin-2 project from the Dutch-British energy giant. In recent months, local authorities went after the company for "unauthorized tree felling" and other environmental and labor violations -- finding about 100 in all.

Last week, the Natural Resources Ministry threatened to pull permits needed to proceed with the exploration work over allegedly misused water permits. This is the same Russia whose environmental record includes Chernobyl and the dry Aral Sea, among other offenses.
The EU just used similar extra-legal trickery to shutter a Brit company.

So it seems the EU, rather than declining into an Islamic dump, will become a province of Russia. Schroeder, the last German Chancellor, seems to think so.

For the rest of us, the message is clear - stay away.

Tuesday, December 12, 2006

Israel Should Declare Its Nukes

Prime Minister Olmert is pumping smoke on Israel's nukes. However Israel's security would be greatly improved by a clear statement of its nuclear weapons capability and intentions
Prime Minister Ehud Olmert reiterated three times during the 30 min press conference he gave alongside German Chancellor Angela Merkel during his visit to the European country that Israel's policy of nuclear ambiguity has not changed.
Ambiguity made sense when there was a chance the UN, US or EU might persuade Iran not to develop nukes. But now it's clear that won't happen so Israel faces nuclear attack.

Worse, Israel's current nuke-armed enemies now threaten it
directly - Russia building the Iranian breeder reactor, and France giving Hizbollah air cover.

So Israeli strategists are planning for a nuclear war, which will at best leave Israel severely damaged, tens of millions dead, and Europe poisoned with fallout.

A clear deterrence statement might just stop this Armageddon by triggering regime change in Israel's enemies. All three are unstable: Iran's students are demonstrating against the Mullahs, Russia is collapsing, and the French are demoralized.

If the populations of these three nations realize their current leaders are exposing them to mass slaughter, they might just change those leaders out.

So Olmert should announce:

a) That Israel has abundant nukes;

b) That they are very high yield;

c) That Israel won't use them unless it's attacked with WMDs of any description, or if its second-strike capability is threatened (that's to stop the Russians or French going after Israel's subs);

d) And that the weapons are deployed for a second strike,

It might just work.

Monday, December 11, 2006

A New Morality Of War

We must change of codes of warfare to deal with enemy combatants who hide behind civilians - here's how.

Warfare has always been governed by moral codes, but they've evolved with time. For example in ancient China, commanders refused to attack an enemy because he was disadvantaged while crossing a river - they judged an attack dishonorable. But such codes only work if they're reciprocal, and over time cheaters emerge and new codes have to be developed.


This book explains the evolution:
Established "codes of honor"...are the products of past experience and social structures, as well as past war fighting techniques. Aa a result they become obsolete at the start of new wars.
For example when in WW2 Germany changed the rules protecting civilians from attack, the allies eventually adopted the same rules.

Our enemies are forcing another big change in the morality of war:

Mohammad Abd al-Hamid Srour moved missiles across southern Lebanon under cover of a white flag. Hussein Ali Mahmoud Suleiman used the porch of a private home to fire rockets. Maher Hassan Mahmoud Kourani dressed in civilian clothes, hid his Kalashnikov in a tote bag and stored anti-aircraft missiles in the back of a green unmarked Volvo. The three men, all members of Hezbollah, were captured by Israel during last summer's war.

Now their videotaped interviews form part of a remarkable report by retired Lieutenant Colonel Reuven Erlich of Israel's Intelligence and Terrorism Information Center. Relying heavily on captured Hezbollah documents, onsite and aerial photography and other first-hand evidence, the report shows how the Shiite group put innocent civilians at risk by deliberately deploying its forces in cities, towns and often private homes.

Kenneth Roth, the executive director of Human Rights Watch, has accused Israel's military of "indiscriminate warfare" and "a disturbing disregard for the lives of Lebanese civilians." Mr. Erlich demolishes that claim, and in the process shows the asymmetric strategy of Islamist radicals.

...In the town of Qana--site of an Israeli bombing on July 30 that killed 28 and that Hezbollah's apologists were quick to label a "massacre"--an arms warehouse can be seen adjacent to a mosque.

Use of civilians for cover isn't entirely new - in WW2 the Germans (who seem to pioneer these things) herded Dutch civilians around their tanks to ward of air strikes and our airman had no choice but to kill them. But when that war ended, we hoped such barbarism was an aberration and reverted to the old rules.

Now the rules must change, our political leaders should make a formal declaration that our forces will seek out and destroy enemy combatants, in or out of uniform, at home or on the battlefield, in a place or worship or on the street. And that the responsibility for civilian casualties lies entirely with the enemy, not with us.

We must not undertake to minimize civilian casualties - as the Israelis have found, that leads to the dictatorships of the UN Human Rights Committee daring to investigate Israel for artillery misfires when it was trying to stop deliberate Palestinian rocket attacks.

So that's the new rule - if you hide behind civilians, we will kill you in the most effective way, regardless of collateral damage, and the blood of innocents will be on your hands.

This is a horrible rule, but our enemies have chosen it and if we don't follow suit, we'll perish.

Sunday, December 10, 2006

There Goes The EU

The EU just forced the Brit government to pass a law killing a specific company that operated quite legally. That makes the EU toxic for business, and my new company will be registered outside the EU. Other new companies will follow, so there goes London's lead over NYC.

The
sad tale (my ellipsis): .
..Bowland Dairies in Nelson (was) an £8-million-a-year business making curd cheese, mostly exported to five EU countries,.... On June 12, inspectors of the European Commission's Food and Veterinary Office (FVO) visited the plant for 90 minutes, looked through the paperwork and, after misinterpreting one document, issued a "rapid alert notice" that its products were unsafe. The milk in the cheese, they claimed, broke EU rules on antibiotic residues.
The Brit food safety organization rechecked the company and confirmed there wasn't a problem, But the EU insisted, so the company appealed to the European Court of Justice, which also ruled the company was fine.

So the EU just made a law against the company (my ellipsis and emphasis):
..(The EU) warned (the UK) that (it) was about to carry out a full audit of Britain's £5-billion-a-year cheese industry... (and the UK) bowed to the commission's diktat.

On October 16 it rushed through a statutory instrument, the Curd Cheese (Restriction on Placing on the Market) Regulations 2006, to take immediate effect. Section 3 read "No person shall place on the market any curd cheese manufactured by Bowland Dairy Products Limited".
That finally worked and the company is now gone.

This section oif the EU is run by a guy from Greece (CPI 4.4, highly corrupt), so it's likely the company didn't pay the right bribes.

Of course the EU is all about corruption - that's why
its accounts have been qualified by its auditors for 11 years running. But forcing a member state to take out a named company that is operating legally makes SOX pale into insignificance as a business killer.

Because from now on any EU business that doesn't make nice to the Eurocrats will be shut down.


We were planning to register our next company in the UK - now we won't.

How US Appeasers Will Arm China

Israel's arms exports this year approach Russia's, in spite of Israel bowing to US demands not to export to China. So if State slaps a US arms embargo on Israel, it'll simply compensate by upping exports to China.
...Israeli arms exports stand at $4.2 billion in 2006, (triggering) concern over another possible US attempt to limit sales to China.

In 2006 the Israeli Military Industries ended the year with an all time record sum total of $4.2 billion in exports....(and in) the first nine months of 2006 Israel Aerospace Industries sales stood at $2 billion.

..as recently revealed by President Vladimir Putin, will drop to $6 billion.
Baker and his cronies in State wants to solve the Mideast "problem" by forcing Israel to give up the Golan Heights to the Syrian dictatorship. But this summer's attacks from land Israel had ceded shows that this would be suicidal - especially given Syria's past use of the Golan to invade Israel.

So Baker and his buddies at State must be planning massive US pressure to force Israel into this unnatural act. Their main levers are cutting off US aid - about $600 million - and more importantly cutting of military joint ventures (a hidden form of aid), notably on BMD.

But if Israelis judge territorial concessions to be suicidal, they'll simply junk the JVs and plug the gap in their finances by shipping modern weapons to China.

What will State do then?

Saturday, December 09, 2006

Why Socialists Love Man Made Global Warming

The Brits just got hit with higher travel taxes by the creepy Scot set to replace Blair. He used the Theory Of Man Made Global Warming (TOMMGW) as cover, following the lead of US socialist Al Gore. This post explains the connection between socialism and the TOMMGW.

The taxes:
From February 1, (air travel tax) will soar from £20 to £40 for economy class travellers outside the European Union and from £5 to £10 for those within the EU.

The new Green Brown Chancellor also raised duty on petrol by...5.68p per gallon.
He's a repeat offender, having poured subsidies into wind farms, which it turns out only work in, er, Scotland (my ellipsis and emphasis):
The first independent study to rate farms according to how much electricity they produce shows that wind farms south of the Scottish border are not generating as much as the Government assumed when it set the target of producing a tenth of Britain's energy from renewables by 2010 and 15 per cent by 2015.

Despite millions being spent on wind turbines, the study by the Renewable Energy Foundation shows that England and Wales are not windy enough to allow large turbines to work at the rates claimed for them.

The foundation says that too much subsidy...(that) gives wind farms 60-70 per cent of their annual income has encouraged wind development in poor sites.
In the UK, conservatives (with a small c - the Tories are socialists) have debunked TOMMGW, notably Lord Monckton, and Nigel Lawson (who led the UK's economic revival under Mrs T).

It's the same in the US, where the socialist Democratic party promotes TOMMGW and the conservative Republicans debunk it. Thus
Senator James Inhofe's report of the Environment & Public Works Committee exposes Gore's "facts", including this one (my ellipsis):
...the 48 scientists who accused President Bush of distorting (global warming) science were part of a political avocacy group set up to support Democratic Presidential candidate John Kerry in 2004.
Here's why these socialists love TOMMGW.

1. It gives them cover to increase taxes, moving an ever greater percentage of GDP into the command economy they love.

2. It reduces the individual freedoms socialists detest - for example by forcing people out of their autonomous cars into regimented trains and buses.

3. It promotes class war - for example by taxing the "rich" who use airplanes.

4. It's promotes the goal of all good socialists - harming America. That's because a US deprived of its energy-consuming transport infrastructure would be much poorer and weaker.

The good news is that socialist economies always tank, leaving the future to conservatives.

The bad news is the poor Brits have a wall-to-wall socialist governing elite, so face a rough decade.

Friday, December 08, 2006

WW2 All Over Again

Messrs Bush and Blair did the right thing yesterday - they warned the appeasers that if nuke-armed Islamic dictatorships win out in the Mideast, we're looking at a rerun of WW2, with the Europe defeated, the Brits standing alone, and the US (hopefully) coming to the rescue.
Prime Minister Blair's decision to appear with President Bush at the White House yesterday was intended as a signal that, even though he is in the closing months of his own leadership, Mr. Blair has no intention of backing a quick withdrawal of troops from Iraq or an imminent summit with the Iranians and Syrians, no matter what the Iraq Study Group recommended.

The presence of Mr. Blair on the 65th anniversary of the attack on Pearl Harbor seemed to lend more meaning to the president's words. "It's a difficult moment for America and Great Britain. And the task before us is daunting. Yet our nations have stood before in difficult moments. Sixty-five years ago this day, America was jolted out of our isolationism and plunged into a global war that Britain had been fighting for two years. In that war, our nation stood firm," he said.
The WW2 analogy is a good one, since Europe is very vulnerable to Islamic takeover, the US is not, and the UK is somewhere in between.

That's because most European nations have aging and falling native populations, large and growing un-assimilated Muslim communities, lack strong cultural roots, and will be reachable by Iranian nukes. So it won't take a lot to push these nations from atheistic multiculti liberalism to Sharia Law. Germany will likely be the first domino since it's furthest down the path.

By contrast, the US population is expanding, its Muslim population, although manipulative, is relatively small,
and about half of Americans - the Red Staters - have strong Christian beliefs. Plus Iran is decades off being able to reach America with nukes.

The UK is somewhere in between. So a rerun of WW2 is not unlikely.

Thursday, December 07, 2006

Inside The Mind Of The Betrayer

The men proposing the US betrays Iraqi democrats, Kurds and Israelis are sociopaths, not realists.

To betray is to refuse to be bound by the past. This can be an advantage in business - if you base your investments on what's happening right now, you can make a lot of money. This book says George Soros is such a person - apparently he looks at the world anew every day.

But most humans aren't like Soros; we're strongly tied to past commitments.


We're this way because honoring commitments brings huge survival advantages. For example, if each morning you recompute whether your spouse is optimal, you'll end up with a diminishing string of partners. Or if you break your promise to watch a comrade's back in battle, no one will watch yours.


That's why people who do this are termed sociopaths - they don't display social behavior. They survive in the gene pool because there's some survival advantage to being a sociopath provided most other people are not, and that's why the likes of Soros and Baker are with us.


Sociopaths are poison to armies - here's the former head of the Brit Army giving a
morality lesson to Blair:
"It is our soldiers who pay the cost in blood; the nation must therefore pay the cost in treasure," he said.

Britain's troops should be "properly equipped, thoroughly trained, decently paid, and together with their families, decently housed. They deserve nothing less."

Problems in these areas had led to recruiting becoming a major challenge.

Commenting on the Iraq Study Group's conclusions, Sir Mike said: "To leave Iraq before the Iraqi security forces are fully able to deal with the current violence would be both morally wrong and a fundamental strategic mistake."

Note: he talks about morality, not just strategy.

The Brits fought WW1 to honor their commitments to France, and WW2 to honor their commitments to Poland. These wars cost the UK an enormous sacrifice of blood and treasure, but created a Europe that's peaceful and prosperous. And that's good for the UK - Europe is its largest export market and its biggest supplier.

Conversely, if the Brits had betrayed France and Poland, they would now be living next to a Teutonic charnel house, and would be much poorer and less secure.

In summary, sociopaths can get big short term gains but long term they get killed. And that's why most humans behave honorably.

And that's why we must honor our promises to the Iraqis who died in the cause of the democracy we promised them.

.

Wednesday, December 06, 2006

NUTS!

Baker and his cronies want the US to abandon the Iraqis to neighboring fear states, allow the Mullahs build nukes, and screw the Kurds and the Jews. The president should respond as above.

The last such call for a US surrender was during the
Battle of the Bulge (my ellipsis):

By December 21 (1944) the German forces had surrounded Bastogne, which was defended by the 101st Airborne Division and Combat Command B of the 10th Armored Division.

Conditions inside the perimeter were tough—most of the medical supplies and medical personnel had been captured. Food was scarce, and ammunition was so low that artillery crews were forbidden to fire on advancing Germans unless there was a large, heavy concentration of them. Despite determined German attacks, however, the perimeter held. The German Commander sent this request to the American commander in Bastogne.

"To the USA Commander of the encircled town of Bastogne: The fortune of war is changing. This time strong German armored units have encircled the USA forces in and near Bastogne ... There is only one possibility to save the encircled USA troops from total annihilation; that is the honorable surrender of the encircled town ... If this proposal is rejected, one German Artillery Corps and six heavy AA Battalions are ready to annihilate USA troops ... all the serious civilian losses caused by this artillery fire would not correspond with the well-known American humanity..." -The German Commander

When General Anthony McAuliffe was awakened by a German invitation to surrender, he gave a reply of annoyance that has been variously reported and was probably unprintable. There is no disagreement, however, as to what he wrote on the paper delivered to the Germans: "NUTS!"
Baker's surrender demand is a bit longer than his German predecessor's - it makes 79 recommendations, the essence of which is as follows.

Form a committee of fear states to "help" Iraq


Baker wants to put Iraq in a hen house
full of foxes (WSJ, $, my ellipsis):
...all the states bordering Iraq (that's the Saudis, Iran, Kuwait, Syria, Jordan and Turkey); the key regional states, including Egypt and the Gulf States (but presumably not Israel); the five permanent members of the United Nations Security Council (that's Russia, China, France, UK and US); the European Union; and, of course, Iraq itself. Other countries—for instance, Germany, Japan and South Korea—that might be willing to contribute to resolving political, diplomatic, and security problems affecting Iraq could also become members.
This coalition of tyrants, terrorists and appeasers will make quick work of the Iraqi democrats.

Let the Mullahs build their nukes

The issue of Iran's nuclear programs should continue to be dealt with by the United Nations Security Council and its five permanent members (i.e., the United States, United Kingdom, France, Russia, and China) plus Germany.
Cut And Run
The United States must make it clear to the Iraqi government that the United States could carry out its plans, including planned redeployments, even if Iraq does not implement its planned changes. America's other security needs and the future of our military cannot be made hostage to the actions or inactions of the Iraqi government.

We should seek to complete the training and equipping mission by the first quarter of 2008...
Thus al qaeda just has to keep blowing up Iraqi women and kids through Q1 2008 and the US will walk. That'll show them.

Screw the Kurds


Although Shiites, the blue-eyed, matriarchal Kurds are quite different from Arabs. Saddam forced them from their holy city of Kirkuk, they've repossessed it and a referendum is committed that will probably formalize its return to Kurdistan. So of course:
A referendum on the future of Kirkuk (as required by the Iraqi Constitution before the end of 2007) would be explosive and should be delayed.
That way the US gets to undermine its only steadfast ally in Iraq and violate the constitution all those purple-fingered folks risked their lives to vote for.

Abandon The Jews


Baker proposes the Syrian fear state makes a bunch of temporary concessions and in return Israel permanently gives it an improved rocket launching zone.

In exchange for these actions and in the context of a full and secure peace agreement, the Israelis should return the Golan Heights, with a U.S. security guarantee for Israel that could include an international force on the border, including U.S. troops if requested by both parties.
It's unlikely the Israelis will be impressed - by leaving the Iraqi democracy at the mercy of a nuke armed Iranian dictatorship, Baker devalues US security guarantees for all time.

In summary: NUTS!

Tuesday, December 05, 2006

A Real Job For Bolton

The US depends on its emerging Russian enemy for the uranium to fuel its switch away from oil. That's a deadly exposure, which can only be fixed by a superlative manager - step forward John Bolton.

Russia has become another USSR. It's prepping the Iranians to kill the Jews:
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said Tuesday that imposing wide-ranging sanctions on Iran for its nuclear program would be "irresponsible."
And murdering its opponents (my ellipsis):
Despite a formal pledge of cooperation with the team of (Scotland Yard) detectives who have flown into Moscow, Russian authorities threw up a succession of obstacles to the inquiry.

Yuri Chaika, the Prosecutor General, ruled out any interviews with leaders of the FSB, the secret service agency suspected in Whitehall of masterminding the murder of Mr Litvinenko with the radioactive poison polonium-210.

So it's intolerable that the US depends on Russian uranium for its nuclear power program (WSJ, $, my ellipsis and emphasis):

The Bush administration's plan for a "renaissance" in nuclear power may be crimped by tightening world-wide supplies of uranium and a lack of enrichment facilities to turn the uranium into fuel for power plants.

In a recent setback, an accident in October flooded the world's largest uranium mine, which was set to open in Canada next year. That nudged prices for processed uranium ore, already up more than 800% since 2001, even higher

...Russia...provides about half the enriched nuclear fuel used in this country (the US).

However, the "Ad Hoc Utility Group," an industry collective that represents 85% of the utilities involved in producing nuclear power is nervous about securing adequate fuel supplies for nuclear power plants over the next 10 years. The group is lobbying the administration to allow Russia to sell enriched fuel directly to U.S. utilities.

The accident at the Canadian mine highlights the supply problem. In October, the ceiling of the nearly completed mine, located in Saskatchewan, collapsed and let in a flood of water. The mine's owner...says the mishap will delay completion for as long as three years. The mine could eventually supply 17% of the world's uranium demand, (it) says.

This mix of committees and the messed up projects is no doubt further complicated by the fools at State.

Fixing it is a classic program manager's task, and the president should set the goal of US energy independence and appoint a tough manager to bash heads and direct national resources to get US enrichment facilities built, and bring that Canadian mine on stream.

He should appoint Bolton to the task. I'm sure Bolton will enjoy the job - unlike draining the UN swamp, ensuring US energy independence is an achievable task with a tangible and valuable outcome.

Monday, December 04, 2006

Europe Lines Up Against The Jews

The Euroweasels are, as predicted, lining up against Israel. Sadly, that includes the Brits.

Blair seems to want his legacy to be a
second holocaust:
Tony Blair flies to Washington this week hoping to capitalise on signs that President Bush and Congress are at last focusing attention on the long-stalled Middle East peace process as part of a solution for the trouble-torn region in general — and Iraq in particular.

The Prime Minister, who is said to be “deeply frustrated” that Mr Bush has failed to fulfil his promise of spending “political capital” on brokering a settlement between the Arabs and Israelis...

Blair's "frustration" is a tad unfair - the president did encourage Israel to withdraw from Gaza, so providing Hamas with its rocket launching fields.

Blair is presumably thinking of Israel's withdrawal from the West Bank, Jerusalem and the Golan Heights, and maybe the transfer of its thermonukes to the trusty French-led UNIFIL.

Speaking of which, the Socialist candidate pitching to replace Chirac has been stumping the Mideast to impress the French "car-torching youth" vote (my ellipsis and emphasis):

Miss Royal...embarked on a hastily organised tour of the Middle East over the weekend...with stops in Lebanon, Jordan, the Palestinian territories and Israel...

Miss Royal...sought to put into practice her credo of "participatory dialogue" by meeting and talking to all the regional actors without exception.

These included Ali Ammar, a member of the pro-Syrian, Iranian-backed Hizbollah party, who, during a meeting with Lebanese MPs, likened Israeli incursions into southern Lebanon to Nazism. "The Nazism that has spilt our blood and usurped our independence and our sovereignty is no less evil than the Nazi occupation of France," he was reported telling Miss Royal.

He attacked the "unlimited dementia of the American administration" and called Israel the "Zionist entity".

Not mentioning his first comments, Miss Royal said: "I agree with a lot of things that you have said, notably your analysis of the United States," adding that Israel was a recognised country.

"Recognized" - that's a doughty defense coming from a citizen of the nation that did this in WW2 (my ellipsis):

...the Vichy government...collaborated with Nazism...The (French) police...worked as the Gestapo's aid (and) rounded up 75,000 Jews for deportation to concentration camps.

What The US Owes The UN

John Bolton was always wasted on the UN. Its secretariat - and average member - is a corrupt dictatorship that hates the US and Israel. Rather than trying to reform it, his replacement should encourage the UN to follow the League of Nations into the graveyard of international institutions.

The best way to do that is for America's new man at the UN to speed up and intensify the upcoming Mideast nuclear war, and that needs the very opposite of Bolton. He needs to be a vapid, incoherent, ignorant, dishonest, cowardly appeaser - so the president and Congress should line up behind
this man (my emphasis):
"There are many qualified candidates from across the political spectrum with the respect and experience necessary to be effective in this crucial post," added Sen. John Kerry, D-Mass.He said a new nominee must be confirmed "with broad bipartisan support."

Sunday, December 03, 2006

Civilized London

Flying in to London from the Southern Med offers an instructive contrast in cultures.

Security at our departure airport was quite unaffected by the
silly rules the EU just adopted to placate Blair. So we both carried 2 bags on board unchallenged and nobody asked to see our toiletries. That's because the Southern Med states are all low-trust, which means people - cops included - ignore petty laws (and unpetty ones too). The downside is there's less community spirit.

London is the flip side - people are much more law abiding, no matter how daft the law, but also much more courteous and helpful. Here are 5 examples from our trip from Heathrow to our Central London flat
:

1. The ticket inspector on the Heathrow Express joked self-deprecatingly while checking our tickets.


2. A London Underground inspector, seeing me cursing my maxed-out electronic payment card, personally topped it up at an automatic payment machine.


3. A guy in the underground train gave up his seat to Mrs G.


4. Another guy jokingly offered me his seat.


5. Arriving at our flat we met the grocery delivery guy waiting in the rain, 2 minutes ahead of our delivery slot. He cheerfully carried up and checked the delivery for breakages.


These were all Londoners, but they hailed from:


1. France

2. West Indies
3. Pakistan
4. England
5. Poland

Londoners benefit hugely from their willingness to accept, accommodate, and integrate outsiders. And that acceptance is based on high-trust rules of courtesy and community that don't exist further south.


There's yet another flip side though. The cheerfulness, tolerance and fortitude of Londoners (and Brits) makes them incredibly slow to object to the sheer awfulness of their political elites.


So they now face a political consensus that's about tax their air travel to "reduce global warming"; tax peak-time road usage rather than build more roads (ditto); has built the biggest DNA database in the world - mostly from innocent citizens interviewed by cops but never charged; is setting up a database that tracks the life of every Brit from birth (to "prevent child abuse"); and will ban all smoking in pubs, restaurants and offices - even in specially constructed smoking rooms.

The good news - as the Germans found in WW2 - is that when the civilized Brits are provoked beyond endurance, they become implacable. So we may yet see the heads of Blair, Cameron and co in the Tower of London.

Friday, December 01, 2006

Amazing Grace

The Baker Commission is expected to recommend the US makes a "graceful exit" from Iraq, to the president's evident irritation.
Mr Bush has repeatedly rejected a wholesale pullout or what he calls artificial deadlines. "This business about a graceful exit just simply has no realism to it at all," he said yesterday.
The educated fellows at State will no doubt convert him using examples from recent US history.

The Graceful Exit from Somalia

The Graceful Exit from the Lebanon

The Graceful Exit from South Vietnam

Compelling British examples include:

The Graceful Exit from Northern Ireland

The Graceful Exit from Dunkirk

The Graceful Exit from Singapore

Just compare the benefits these acts of grace conferred on millions with the miseries inflicted by the US and Brit ungraceful non-exits from Europe and Japan in WW2 and their subsequent confrontation with the USSR.